Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.419459 0.490555 0.570403 0.666805 0.780160 0.909367 1.068038
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.298600 0.387873 0.499456 0.649546 0.846776 1.097979 1.443609
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.249299 0.348053 0.480926 0.673569 0.947130 1.323780 1.885407
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.210089 0.310837 0.454691 0.676325 1.011566 1.503501 2.287173
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.183996 0.286196 0.439806 0.689281 1.087955 1.706454 2.750638
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.157881 0.256587 0.411787 0.675837 1.118824 1.840864 3.124583
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.138343 0.233975 0.390635 0.668724 1.156498 1.988423 3.539754
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.124188 0.217934 0.377455 0.672027 1.210619 2.169023 4.038031
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.117299 0.213227 0.382506 0.707162 1.324930 2.470100 4.802132
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.110801 0.208190 0.386018 0.739461 1.437848 2.783570 5.639078
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.103606 0.200798 0.384049 0.760705 1.531896 3.073284 6.474024
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.095617 0.190779 0.375686 0.767940 1.598453 3.316811 7.250737
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.086656 0.177929 0.360631 0.760528 1.635868 3.510342 7.962797
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.077596 0.163762 0.341225 0.741506 1.646199 3.648871 8.578477
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.073835 0.160208 0.343297 0.769047 1.763125 4.039234 9.849556
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.068405 0.152314 0.335033 0.772208 1.824577 4.311805 10.882458
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.064444 0.147163 0.332089 0.787070 1.915567 4.667178 12.185989
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.058740 0.137305 0.317267 0.771649 1.930421 4.839025 13.041256
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.054123 0.129426 0.306064 0.763490 1.962241 5.058136 14.063518
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.050693 0.123979 0.299967 0.767279 2.025455 5.368050 15.395858
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.049616 0.124186 0.307646 0.807583 2.191758 5.978577 17.709546
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.048362 0.123792 0.313766 0.844642 2.354973 6.606696 20.197075
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.046517 0.121643 0.315138 0.869021 2.486402 7.166128 22.582529